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→ The kids love Nigel Farage
No wonder Rishi Sunak wanted to conscript the young. A recent JLP poll has shown that, among 16 to 17-year-olds that Reform UK is more popular than the Tories. With 23% support, Reform came in behind Labour at 39%, with the Greens on 18%. The Tories, meanwhile, are on a measly 5%.
NEW JLP @TheSun: Reform in 2nd place with 16/17 year olds, joint-1st with males
All 16/17s:
LAB: 39%
REFORM: 23%
GRN: 18%
LDEM: 9%
CON: 5%Males:
REF: 35%
LAB: 35%
LDEM: 11%
CON: 11%
GRN: 2%Females:
LAB: 43%
GRN: 33%
REF: 12%
LDEM: 8%
CON: 0%https://t.co/b4aoYq3u56— JLP (@JLPartnersPolls) July 2, 2024
The really shocking stats, however, arise along the gender divide. For males, Reform and Labour are joint top on 35% while the Conservative Party does slightly better than it previously did on 11%.
For females, the Tories are on a deadly 0%. Although much has been written about the political divide between the sexes with young women being more Left-wing and young men on the Right, Reform is still at 12% among the female cohort.
The stats say extending the franchise to 16-year-olds would add 1.5 million people to the electorate. Anyone willing to do the maths to see how many extra fans Farage would have?
→ Biden campaign in denial about debate disaster
Joe Biden’s no-good-very-bad week is turning worse and worse. A poll shared on the Silver Bulletin Substack shows Biden’s win probability slipping from 34.7% on 27 June (the day of the debate), to 27.6% on 1 July.
7/1 model update.
Debate beginning to take a real bite out of Biden. pic.twitter.com/lSESmUd4JZ
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 1, 2024
It’s yet another indication of how terminal things have become for the president. But some Democrats aren’t taking the hint. According to campaign insiders, internal polling in swing states remains the same as it did before the debate, with Biden narrowly trailing Trump. Weija Jiang of CBS News posted on X: “The Biden campaign’s internal polling shows that the President’s support is unchanged following the debate, with Trump leading 46% to Biden’s 45% — virtually identical to its polling in May.”
But as Olivia Nuzzi notes, this is pretty desperate stuff considering that it shows Biden still losing. Nothing to worry about, then…
→ Macron labelled a fascist by Italian communist paper
Emmanuel Macron’s Jupiterian moment is certainly over. The French president is having a tough time at the moment, what with his almost certain defeat in the second round of the snap French elections to Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National. He is certainly no Caesar.
Great headline from Italian paper Il Manifesto pic.twitter.com/3HtlWOSIzJ
— Olly (@reality_manager) July 2, 2024
The Italian daily communist paper Il Manifesto has gone all out in its attack of the French president. The paper’s headline reads “Veni, Vidi, Vichy,” mixing the famous Julius Caesar phrase meaning “I came, I saw, I conquered,” with a reference to the French Vichy collaborationist government during the Second World War that failed to oppose the Nazi occupation. In the piece, they call Macron a “fascist appeaser”. Wow, tough crowd.
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Subscribe“Veni, Vidi, Vichy”
Yep, a comment to be remembered alongside its forebear; though I never knew the Italians had such a historical memory relating to the Roman conquest of Grand Britannia.
It’s a brilliant headline.
And it works both ways – Marine le Pen is in some ways a spiritual successor of Vichy – in instincts very inward looking and protectionist.
The Communist parties of Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Bulgaria and the rest all implemented Vichy style regimes after 1945, collaborating with a totalitarian foreign occupying power to pillage the resources of their countries, and oppress their people. The PCI in Italy hoped to do the same. When Petain collaborated with Germany in 1940, Stalin was also doing so, but in his case from choice rather than necessity. The hypocrisy of the Far Left is staggering.
Biden said in the debate that no servicemen died on his watch.
I remember the very watch in question,
When the servicemen’s bodies were being brought back from Afghanistan, Biden found his watch more interesting to look at than the coffins…..
If the polling figures for young male Reform support is accurate after a very short campaign there would seem to be a reasonable chance for such youths to be able to sing “Tomorrow belongs to me”. Fortunately Nigel has no plans for the “world” to belong to him.
Farage’s popularity among the young is very refreshing. Maybe the disinherited British youth are living with the pain of watching their country slip away and realise the need to act quickly. Perhaps this event more than any other, reveals the increasing impotence of the MSM to control the narrative. Just imagine the Overton window shift possible with Farage in Parliament.
https://theheritagesite.substack.com/
“The kids love Nigel Farage” Is it because he is so inherently loveable?
Nigel will do nothing for them so long as he still backs putting taxes into the NHS.
The money saved from dismantling this Soviet-era bureaucracy would certainly allow the state pension to be raised, as far as the older demographic goes, being that it’s the lowest in Europe by at least 50%.
That in turn would dampen property bubbles and allow young people to get on the private housing ladder.
Kids now -‘ That Farage chap, like him. Saw him eating pigs testicles on Get Me Out of Here. What a geezer’
Kids in couple of years time – ‘That Farage geezer surrounded by all those Racists and bigots in that Reform party thing ain’t he. Thought he was alright once. Not now’
Watch and wait.
Youf isn’t decamping to Reform in significant numbers anytime soon. There are always a few bigoted, testosterone fuelled young men – keen on simplistic answers to complex problems – who look right.
The rest were turned off by their teachers and by Brexit. Since Brexit will take decades to pay any dividends, or significant reductions in immigration, I don’t see Reform winning many over.